2023 NFL Power Rankings: Week 5 (2024)

My 2023 NFL Power Ratings are designed to be a starting point for point-spread betting between two teams. They take into account recent performances, long-term injuries, coaching, and strength of schedule. These ratings are intended to help predict performances in the present, but they’re not necessarily predictive for the rest of the season. I will take my Power Ratings into account when I make my weekly against the spread picks, but I’ll also consider current injury reports, home-field advantage, weather, and other factors that may be relevant.

How to use my power rankings: My top-rated team, the San Francisco 49ers (8), would be 13-point favorites on a neutral field over my worst-rated team, the Chicago Bears (-5). Using a 1.5-point adjustment for home-field advantage (HFA average was 1.4 points in 2022), the 49ers would be 14.5-point favorites over the Bears at home and 11.5-point favorites over the Bears on the road.

RankTeamPower RankingSuper Bowl OddsRanking Adjustment2023 Record (ATS)
1.San Francisco 49ers8+550+.54-0 (3-1)
2.Philadelphia Eagles7+6504-0 (2-1-1)
3.Kansas City Chiefs7+5503-1 (2-2)
4.Buffalo Bills6.5+7003-1 (3-1)
5.Dallas Cowboys6+850+.53-1 (3-1)
6.Miami Dolphins6+1300-.53-1 (3-1)
7.Detroit Lions5+2000+13-1 (3-1)
8.Baltimore Ravens4+1200+.53-1 (3-1)
9.Cleveland Browns3.5+30002-2 (2-2)
10.Jacksonville Jaguars3.5+3300+.52-2 (2-2)
11.Seattle Seahawks3+3800+.53-1 (3-1)
12.Los Angeles Chargers2.5+28002-2 (1-2-1)
13.Cincinnati Bengals2+2800-2.51-3 (1-3)
14.Green Bay Packers1.5+5500-.52-2 (3-1)
15.Minnesota Vikings1+5000+.51-3 (1-2-1)
16.Los Angeles Rams1+7500+.52-2 (2-2)
17.New Orleans Saints.5+4300-.52-2 (0-3-1)
18.Tennessee Titans0+7000+.52-2 (3-1)
19.Pittsburgh Steelers0+9000-1.52-2 (2-2)
20.New England Patriots0+10000-1.51-3 (1-3)
21.New York Jets-.5+13000+.51-3 (2-2)
22.Tampa Bay Buccaneers-.5+6500+13-1 (3-1)
23.Washington Commanders-.5+10000+.52-2 (2-2)
24.Houston Texans-1+13000+1.52-2 (2-2)
25.Indianapolis Colts-1.5+130002-2 (2-2)
26.Atlanta Falcons-1.5+8000-12-2 (1-3)
27.New York Giants-1.5+20000-11-3 (0-4)
28.Las Vegas Raiders-2.5+280001-3 (1-3)
29.Arizona Cardinals-2.5+55000+11-3 (3-1)
30.Denver Broncos-3+150001-3 (1-3)
31.Carolina Panthers-4+550000-4 (0-3-1)
32.Chicago Bears-5+55000-.50-4 (0-3-1)

Rankings Adjustment Tracker

UP

Teams who improved from the last Power Ratings update.

San Francisco 49ers — Christian McCaffrey is coming off a 4-TD performance with 177 scrimmage yards, which gives him 23+ touches, 1+ TD, 115+ scrimmage yards, and 22+ FP in each of his first four games.

Dallas Cowboys — Dallas has winning margins of +35, +20, and +40 points to open the season, sandwiching a 12-point loss to the Cardinals,

Detroit Lions — The Lions took early command of the NFC North thanks to a dominant victory over the Packers at Lambeau Field. David Montgomery controlled the action with 32/121/3 rushing, and they’ll get Jameson Williams back from suspension two games earlier than expected.

Baltimore Ravens — The Ravens took sole possession of first in the AFC North with Lamar Jackson accounting for 4 TDs against a Browns that was without Deshaun Watson.

Jacksonville Jaguars — The Jaguars snapped a two-game outright and ATS losing but the offense mustered just one TD in the victory over the Falcons.

Seattle Seahawks — Devon Witherspoon, the #5 overall pick from the spring, registered 2 sacks and a 97-yard pick six to hold the Giants to just 3 points.

Los Angeles Rams — The Rams could get Cooper Kupp (hamstring, IR) back as early as this week. Puka Bacua posted the most catches (39) and receiving yards (501) for any player through his first four games.

Tennessee Titans — Derrick Henry went from averaging 1.8 YPC for 11/20 rushing in a defeat to the Browns in Week 3 to averaging 5.5 YPC with 22/122/1 in a victory over the Bengals in Week 4.

New York Jets — Zach Wilson gave Jets fans their first taste of hope since Week 1, completing 28/39 passes for 245 yards (6.3 YPA) and 2 TDs in a loss to the Chiefs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield posted his first 3-TD passing performance since he threw for 3 scores against the Steelers in the 2020 Wild Card Round.

Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud is averaging 8.0 YPA without an INT on his first 151 NFL pass attempts, and the Texans have outscored their opponents 77-23 in the last 9 quarters.

Arizona Cardinals — The Cardinals failed to cover the spread for the first time, but they had multiple chances to do it late in the game.

DOWN

Teams who worsened from the last Power Ratings update.

Miami Dolphins — The Dolphins went from beating the Broncos by 50 points in a historic 70-point offensive outburst to losing by 28 points the next week against the Bills.

Cincinnati Bengals — The Bengals have scored an NFL-worst 3 offensive TDs in the first four weeks.

Green Bay Packers — The Lions outgained the Packers 284 to 23 in the first half and held a 27-3 advantage through the first 30 minutes of Week 4. Green Bay also placed LT David Bakhtiari on the IR for a knee injury.

Pittsburgh Steelers — The Steelers have been outgained by an NFL-high 560 yards through four weeks, and they’ll be without Kenny Pickett (knee) for at least the next game.

New Orleans Saints — The Saints have mustered just 4 offensive TDs through four games with new quarterback Derek Carr, and New Orleans has played under the total in 10 straight games.

New England Patriots — The Cowboys handed Bill Belichick the worst loss of his career in a 38-3 defeat. They also lost Matthew Judon (biceps) and Christian Gonzalez (shoulder) in the defeat.

Atlanta Falcons — Ridder has thrown for 201 yards or worse in three of his first four games, and his QB rating has fallen in four straight games (111.8>79.8>70.2>62.7).

New York Giants — The Giants surrendered 11 sacks and failed to score a touchdown in a loss to the Seahawks. New York scored 31 points in two quarters against the Cardinals in Week 2 and have scored just 15 points in their other 14 quarters of action.

Chicago Bears — The Bears squandered a 21-point lead with 19 minutes to play against the Broncos, which was their 14th straight outright loss.

2023 NFL Power Rankings: Week 5 (2024)

FAQs

Who has the top ranked offense in the NFL 2023? ›

Total Offense
#TeamOffense Yards Avg.
1Dolphins401.3
249ers398.4
3Lions394.8
4Bills374.5
28 more rows
Feb 2, 2024

What teams are doing well in the NFL? ›

  • Kansas City Chiefs. Post-draft ranking: 1. ...
  • Baltimore Ravens. Post-draft ranking: 3. ...
  • San Francisco 49ers. Post-draft ranking: 2. ...
  • Detroit Lions. Post-draft ranking: 4. ...
  • Philadelphia Eagles. Post-draft ranking: 5. ...
  • Houston Texans. Post-draft ranking: 6. ...
  • Buffalo Bills. Post-draft ranking: 8. ...
  • Miami Dolphins. Post-draft ranking: 7.
1 day ago

What is the NFL Power Rankings this week 15? ›

NFL Power Rankings Week 15: Chaos in the AFC, plus a fantasy spotlight for every team
  • San Francisco 49ers (10-3) (Last week: 1) ...
  • Dallas Cowboys (10-3) (Last week: 3) ...
  • Baltimore Ravens (10-3) (Last week: 2) ...
  • Philadelphia Eagles (10-3) ...
  • Buffalo Bills (7-6) ...
  • Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) ...
  • Miami Dolphins (9-4) ...
  • Detroit Lions (9-4)
Dec 12, 2023

How are football power rankings determined? ›

Calculated by aggregating computer generated power rankings from around the web and determining each team's average ranking. How We Calculate: Our NFL Power Rankings are calculated by aggregating computer rankings from around the web and determining each team's average ranking.

Who has the best offensive line in the NFL 2023? ›

According to PFF's end of 2023-24 season offensive line rankings, the Eagles finished first, the Lions second, Colts third, Falcons fourth, and Ravens fifth.

What NFL team has the best offensive line? ›

2024 NFL offensive line rankings: Lions take top spot, led by Penei Sewell and Frank Ragnow
  • Detroit Lions.
  • Philadelphia Eagles.
  • Indianapolis Colts.
  • Cleveland Browns.
  • New York Jets.
  • Atlanta Falcons.
  • Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Buffalo Bills.
Jul 1, 2024

Who is the number one team in the NFL? ›

NFL Power Rankings, 2024:
Power RankTeamChange
149ers0
2Chiefs0
3Lions0
4Ravens0
28 more rows
Aug 9, 2024

What is the power rankings show NFL? ›

Each week during the regular season, NFL Power Rankings, hosted by Andrew Siciliano and Eric Edholm, provides an in-depth look at where each team sits in the weekly ranking of all 32 NFL teams.

Who is the top quarterback week 15? ›

Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings: QB
RKPlayerOpp
1Josh AllenDAL
2Jalen Hurts@SEA
3Lamar Jackson@JAC
4Brock Purdy@ARI
28 more rows
Dec 14, 2023

What is the formula for the NFL power ranking? ›

Breakdown of the power ranking formula:

victory value (25%) - teams wins * strength of victory (relative scale of 0 to 100 by the highest upper bound value) pythagorean win value (25%) - points scored) / (points scored + points against) * games played (relative scale of0 to 100 by the highest upper bound value)

How to calculate power ranking? ›

The power ranking is determined by dividing the sum of all the win points, tie points, schedule points, and bonus points by the number of games that you played.

What is the criteria for NFL power rankings? ›

The power rating of a team is a calculation of the team's strength relative to other teams in the same league or division. The basic idea is to maximize the amount of transitive relations in a given data set due to game outcomes. For example, if A defeats B and B defeats C, then one can safely say that A>B>C.

Who has the most penalties in the NFL 2023? ›

The New York Jets had the most penalties by a team in 2023, with 124 penalties.
TEAMPEN
1Jets124
2Browns115
3Cowboys115
4Texans114
24 more rows

Who is favourite in NFL 2023? ›

Lamar Jackson is considered the favorite to take home the MVP award in 2023. For a complete list of the top contenders and their odds to claim the hardware, review the review below. Learn more about the NFL on FOX Sports.

Who are the safeties ranked in the NFL 2023? ›

2 spot, and the rest of the top 10 is as follows:
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
  • Kyle Hamilton (Baltimore Ravens)
  • Jessie Bates III (Atlanta Falcons)
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick (Pittsburgh Steelers)
  • Jevon Holland (Miami Dolphins)
  • Budda Baker (Arizona Cardinals)
  • Derwin James Jr. ...
  • Kyle Dugger (New England Patriots)
Jul 11, 2024

What NFL team has the best offense of all time? ›

The Denver Broncos have put up the most points by a team in a season, with 606 points in 2013.
TEAMXPM
1Broncos75
2Patriots74
3Chiefs65
4Packers68
24 more rows

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